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Future Housing Prices: Expect Declines Until at Least 2009
butterflylister
5/14/2008
Future Housing Prices: Expect Declines Until 2009The imploding housing market and the subsequent decline of housing prices is nowhere near over.  The fallout of the bursting housing bubble could last until the end of 2009, or as long as 2010+, according to many top real-estate resources.

According to Fiserv Lending Solutions, housing prices in 75 of the U.S.'s top 100 cities are expected to fall in the next 12 months.  Furthermore, foreclosures during the first quarter of 2008 have spiked nearly 112% from last year's figures. And, with billions of dollars worth of subprime mortgages resetting in the next year, the statistics will only get worse. 

With free-falling prices and the expectation of lower future prices, homebuyers will probably find themselves on the fence for a while, waiting for rock bottom prices.  This, in turn, will most likely prolong price declines, as homebuyers hold out to find lower prices. 

Below is a list of Home Pricing statistics in 100 popular metro areas:

 

Metro Area

Home Price

Price Change

Forecast

Change in Foreclosure

 

median

5 years

May '09

Rate- 1 year

McAllen, TX

$109,000

23.30%

4.00%

23%

Rochester, NY

$121,000

20.10%

2.70%

5%

Birmingham

$156,000

29.40%

2.70%

20%

Syracuse

$126,000

29.50%

2.60%

27%

Buffalo/Niagara Falls

$105,000

24.50%

2.40%

14%

New Orleans

$158,000

43.70%

2.20%

49%

Scranton

$128,000

41.10%

2.20%

8%

Baton Rouge

$170,000

38.30%

1.90%

14%

Grand Rapids

$124,000

8.30%

1.90%

37%

El Paso

$134,000

51.90%

1.80%

32%

Wichita

$114,000

17.80%

1.50%

9%

Tulsa

$128,000

18.80%

1.40%

5%

Fort Worth/Arlington

$134,000

17.40%

1.40%

16%

Indianapolis

$114,000

12.00%

1.30%

11%

Houston

$150,000

25.10%

1.20%

11%

Dallas

$161,000

15.80%

1.20%

14%

Gary, IN

$125,000

25.60%

1.10%

12%

Albany, NY

$200,000

64.10%

0.90%

10%

San Antonio

$152,000

39.60%

0.80%

22%

Greensboro, NC

$151,000

17.80%

0.60%

256%

Omaha

$136,000

17.70%

0.60%

71%

Little Rock

$128,000

28.40%

0.50%

405%

Louisville

$133,000

20.70%

0.50%

17%

Columbia, SC

$145,000

28.10%

0.30%

16%

Oklahoma City

$134,000

29.80%

0.30%

16%

Austin

$186,000

28.90%

-0.10%

-6%

Raleigh/Cary, NC

$236,000

26.40%

-0.20%

62%

Charlotte, NC

$205,000

27.80%

-0.50%

15%

Kansas City

$148,000

19.40%

-0.60%

22%

St. Louis

$134,000

31.70%

-0.80%

22%

Lake County, IL

$260,000

30.40%

-0.80%

N.A.

Pittsburgh

$144,000

18.10%

-1.30%

1%

Memphis

$124,000

8.70%

-1.50%

28%

Richmond

$226,000

61.40%

-1.80%

72%

Milwaukee

$220,000

35.70%

-1.80%

53%

Atlanta

$205,000

16.00%

-2.30%

52%

Youngstown, OH

$87,000

2.80%

-3.00%

3%

Nashville

$154,000

34.80%

-3.30%

28%

Allentown, PA

$247,000

58.90%

-3.30%

52%

Akron

$143,000

5.20%

-3.80%

15%

Toledo

$122,000

1.90%

-4.00%

12%

Cincinnati

$166,000

7.40%

-4.20%

9%

Cleveland

$145,000

1.20%

-4.30%

11%

Columbus, OH

$155,000

5.70%

-4.40%

17%

Dayton

$125,000

7.70%

-4.40%

10%

Knoxville

$144,000

35.60%

-5.20%

39%

Minneapolis/St. Paul

$235,000

15.90%

-5.60%

71%

Farmington Hills, MI

$175,000

-7.50%

-5.90%

N.A.

Poughkeepsie, NY

$260,000

50.80%

-6.80%

35%

Chicago

$279,000

29.20%

-6.80%

9%

Virginia Beach

$236,000

90.10%

-7.10%

33%

Cambridge, MA

$417,000

10.70%

-8.50%

57%

Detroit

$120,000

-6.30%

-8.60%

41%

Peabody, MA

$365,000

10.40%

-8.80%

9%

Sacramento

$330,000

23.30%

-8.90%

210%

Seattle

$430,000

61.90%

-9.00%

58%

Worcester, MA

$257,000

13.50%

-9.20%

102%

Springfield, MA

$195,000

33.60%

-9.50%

241%

Jacksonville

$197,000

47.70%

-9.60%

130%

San Diego

$522,000

31.30%

-9.70%

175%

Salt Lake City

$229,000

59.90%

-9.80%

18%

San Francisco

$840,000

40.70%

-10.10%

175%

Wilmington, DE

$259,000

50.90%

-10.30%

145%

Boston

$363,000

13.40%

10.50%

57%

Albuquerque

$174,000

50.70%

-10.50%

23%

Denver

$254,000

4.50%

-10.80%

23%

Philadelphia

$200,000

50.00%

-11.10%

29%

Providence

$275,000

32.00%

-11.60%

107%

Oakland

$595,000

27.70%

-11.70%

266%

Baltimore

$264,000

64.70%

-12.50%

92%

San Jose

$750,000

38.70%

-12.50%

347%

Hartford, CT

$249,000

29.10%

-12.60%

51%

Bethesda, MD

$460,000

54.90%

-12.90%

118%

Ventura County, CA

$577,000

42.70%

-13.10%

240%

Tacoma

$283,000

64.30%

-13.20%

68%

Washington, DC

$408,000

49.20%

-13.20%

42%

New York City

$471,000

43.50%

-13.20%

3%

Bakersfield, CA

$255,000

73.00%

-13.60%

391%

Stamford, CT

$562,000

32.80%

-13.90%

66%

New Haven

$260,000

36.30%

-14.20%

83%

Fresno

$276,000

62.10%

-14.30%

285%

Nassau/Suffolk, NY

$465,000

40.20%

-14.40%

N.A.

Portland, OR

$306,000

62.30%

-14.70%

100%

Camden, NJ

$220,000

50.90%

-14.90%

11%

Santa Ana, CA

$669,000

52.40%

-15.20%

290%

Newark

$419,000

38.10%

-15.40%

-5%

Sarasota

$230,000

38.00%

-15.50%

458%

Edison, NJ

$358,000

36.00%

-15.80%

0%

Honolulu

$625,000

95.30%

-16.20%

129%

Los Angeles

$528,000

67.70%

-16.80%

261%

Stockton, CA

$341,000

17.80%

-16.80%

379%

Tucson

$217,000

54.50%

-16.90%

14%

Riverside, CA

$340,000

49.90%

-16.90%

299%

Tampa

$200,000

52.10%

-17.10%

281%

West Palm Beach, FL

$305,000

46.10%

-17.60%

435%

Las Vegas

$277,000

60.80%

-18.30%

2%

Phoenix

$237,000

60.90%

-18.30%

9%

Orlando

$245,000

62.50%

-21.00%

399%

Fort Lauderdale

$309,000

56.10%

-22.20%

450%

Miami

$329,000

94.80%

-24.90%

370%

USA

$206,000

32.70%

-9.70%

65%

SOURCES: Fiserv Lending Solutions; First American CoreLogic, LoanPerformance data; city and county assessors in McAllen, Texas, Poughkeepsie, N.Y. and Lake County, Ill.; MetroTex Association of Realtors; Scranton Board of Realtors; and Greater Tulsa Association of Realtors.

(Posted by K.Skowronski)


Related Articles

Foreclosures Spike During First Quarter of 2008

New Home Sales Plummet in March

Anatomy of the Housing Bubble (part one)

 

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